Milton is a contender, and so far has the trick of the year with the death gap boardslide. He would need to put out a Thrasher exclusive part later in the year, which is entirely a possibility. Thanks to expired for posting the footage.
It seems like when I skater (and his sponsors) make a concerted effort to get SOTY and then get robbed, the skater doesn't really try again in that way. This is why I don't think Evan Smith is a real contender. To do what he did in 2016 and not get SOTY would be enough for him and Element to not push it like that again. His is the part I'm looking forward to the most in the Element video, for sure.
TFunk's banger in the Streetsweeper video was great, but he's gonna need to do a lot more than that. Baker 4 isn't even coming out this year, right?
Tyshawn is just so beloved right now that it is easy to see him getting the trophy while somebody else probably deserved it more, which is kinda what Thrasher always does. Those 'cruising New York' videos, while densely packed with tricks, are very very popular and not to be discounted.
It is easy to imagine Ishod dropping some Spitfire and Thunder parts later this year to build steam. Plus, he has the Monster drink sponsor to fly him to China to get enough footage for a late push.
Nora would need to bust out something a bit more heavy than the usual quarterpipe kickflip back lip. I can see her reserving the best footage for a full on SOTY assault next year.
Nyjah will never get SOTY. Jagger Eaton would get it sooner.