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is the ai bubble gonna burst? everything I keep seeing says it is which makes me think it’s not. Too big to fail? Crazy how much money or fake money even our on money is going into this just so it can save companies money. I guess they are thinking long term.
Just looking to have some intelllefual conversations. Idk what to do, I’m kinda big on cash even though inflation? I think I’m gonna become a doomsday prepper.
AI Bubble is going to burst. It's not if, it's when. There was actually a good article about it in The Ringer this morning of all places, I think it lays out a pretty good, simple case: https://www.theringer.com/2025/11/04/tech/ai-bubble-burst-popping-explained-collapse-or-not-chatgpt
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I have been reading a lot of articles this week and watching the market daily and there does not seem to be any consensus of what to do.
My current investment split is as follows:
40% S&P 500 Index
30% government bonds (Federal and Municipal)
30% Treasury Bills and Cash
One thing I recently did was to move my money to index funds with a low expense ratios (.11, .07, .04, .02). This was based on a simple explanation that if you have $1000 to invest in a fund with an expense ratio of say .5 then for every $1000 you earn John Hancock (my 401K provider) receives $50. There are calculation formulas on line that show that over time this adds up to tens of thousands of dollars.
Disclaimer: I am just becoming interested in investing as I am targeting 2040 retirement.
If you're with Fidelity, I would recommend one of the free Index funds, personally I have 99% of my investments in FZROX or FNILX. I'm a bit further behind and probably won't retire before 2055 so I can be more aggressive, but even at a 2040 retirement I think you can probably invest more in stocks for more growth.
Obviously the past 5 years the line has basically only gone up and there will be a correction at some point, but I invested $30k in just those 2 funds in 2020 and they've grown 122% to $68k.
Wow! That is excellent growth. I have always been too scared to put anything more than, say, 60% in the market. This comes from when I began investing in a 401K (2012) and how poor the returns were up until 2020. I barely made anything more than the 4% me and my employer added. But had I known what the last 5 years were going to be like I would have gone with 100% stocks. Still, my conservative strategy has generated 9.2% year over year for the last 13 years so I am happy and shocked by that. It was a hell of a lot less but since April my interest earnings have doubled.
I actually took even more money out of the stock market because I think the rally is going to end. I cannot just leave my money in and see how it goes.
I listened to an investor provide the following strategy and it sounded interesting.
When the market (s&p500) goes up 5% sell 5% of your stocks. When it drops by 5% buy 5%. And so on…
There is more to it than that but that is basically how it goes.
The other observation was that 7 stocks combhave gone up 90% in 3 years while the other 493 stocks have only gone up 25%.
Right now the market is getting by on pure speculation but consumers are so squeezed at the moment that I am worried this holiday season is going to begin a recession. I wanted to get the majority of my money out now so I don’t have to sit and watch thousands of dollars just melt away.
Edit I assume some of you watched The Big Short? Anyway, Christian Bale played Michael Burry who shorted (bet against) major banks who were buying subprime mortgages. Anyway, he has announced that he is shorting Nvida and Palantir. I say this just to make you guys aware so you have one more piece of information.
https://www.mk.co.kr/en/stock/11460214Note that between 2007-2012 the stock market had zero gains after it lost 40% during the Lehman and Bear Sterns crash. Luckily I had no savings at the time. I just don’t want to see my fellow skaters get hurt if I can help it. That’s all…