If these tariffs hold, skateboarding as we know it is effectively over. There is no way an industry that survives off of the expectation that you consume and replace a deck and pair of shoes once a month (give or take) will make any kind of sense if prices for these goods triple or quadruple in price.
Skateboarding will be the same. The Skateboard industry will change.
I don't see how anything will triple or quadruple in price. I also assume some things will rise fast and others will lag behind but I'm not smart enough to know which.
The current Tariffs on the big skate gear producing countries are:
China: 106% - This will effectively double the price of wheels and trucks, some decks, grip tape, hardware, bushings, and bearings. Also plenty of shoes.
Mexico: 25% - Most of us are riding decks made in Mexico. They'll go up 25%
Canada 25% - Canadian made decks will go up 25%. US made decks will go up some amount due to the maple all coming from Canada
Vietnam - 46% - Tons of shoes are manufactured in Vietnam. They're going up!
US: - Even companies that produce their stuff in the US are using raw materials from other countries so the price will be going up here as well. Bones wheels are made in California but I bet the raw materials come from overseas. As does packaging, shrink wrap, inks, dyes, paint, transfers etc..... Canadian Maple....
I think in the very short term, things will look the same. Shoes will start going up soon. I think smaller companies like Royal will just go out of business. Long established companies like Indy/Thunder/DLX/Bones etc.... will be able to weather the storm but will cut back on r&d and new products. They will also have to eat some of the tariff money but obviously not the bulk of it. I'm personally excited to try the Thunder T2 trucks later in the spring but if they're gonna be like $100 for a pair, that will be a very tough sell. I know I won't be buying them. People will reluctantly pay $75 for a pair of Indys when they need new ones but no one is going to pay $120 for a pair of Grind Kings.